While Atlanta lost longtime franchise fixture Freddie Freeman, it replaced him with Matt Olson from the A's, who should be able to more than match the power output of the former MVP. It's been more than a decade since the Phillies made the playoffs but with Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber on board, this may be the best all-around team they've put together in recent years Credit to the Marlins for spending some money on Avisail Garcia ($53 million) and Jorge Soler ($36 million). We know there are moving parts and differences every single season and the Blue Jays have to replace the career year from Marcus Semien. Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season, including complete standings, playoff teams and the World Series winner. . 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. The biggest thing we like about the Rays is their wealth of pitching, a crucial factor in a season where arms will be tested more than ever. The Rockieswere surprisingly the top suitor for Kris Bryant, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract Has a team ever lost 110 games as quietly as the Diamondbacks last year? Edwin Diaz was a dominant closer in 2021, and figures again to be among the best relievers in 2022. It's always possible Aaron Nola gets back to ace level and Ranger Surez has all kinds of talent, possibly giving the Phillies a Big Three. Weak offense. 3 (Freddy Peralta) and a potential Rookie of the year candidate (Aaron Ashby). MLB power rankings 2022: Yankees, Mets among best MLB - Sportsnaut All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. CHW Chicago White Sox. RHP Max Scherzer inked a super lucrative three-year deal with the New York Mets, paying him an average salary of $43.3 million. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. Needless to say, our MLB predictions arent quite as high on the Boston Red Sox. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. UFC 285: Valentina Shevchenko - Alexa Grasso odds, picks, predictions The moves made this offseason ensure this team will be competitive, maybe even enough to play in October under a 14-team playoff format. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. 2022-23 English Premier League Arsenal vs. Bournemouth odds, picks Can the Los Angeles Angels avoid bad fortune? . The return of spring weather brings hope for every team. Milwaukee finished with a DEF of 56, which was eight more runs than the next best team. The Rays have won the division two years in a rowbut didn't do much to upgrade,and have a lot riding on Wander Franco (and his new 11-year, $182 million contract)taking a significant step forward Yankees fans may have hated the offseason, but the team didn't get significantly worse over the winter. It does not expect full seasons out of both Trout and Ohtani, who have not in their four years together each had seasons where they both appeared in at least 120 games. The Phillies enter the season probably, objectively, a worse team than both the Braves and Mets in the NL East. Our MLB projections will impact our projected postseason bracket. SEA . They also made big splashes by signing Rodon, Alex Cobb and Matthew Boyd, who will only make this rotation stronger. MLB games today, predictions and standings ahead of today's games Eric Lauer and Adrian Houser help round out a rotation that has a case for the MLB's best, in front of a bullpen that has some star power with Josh Hader and Devin Williams. MLB predictions 2022: Final standings, playoff projections, World Series odds for every team, Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman, Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues, Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse, Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat, Cody Bellinger is struggling again, but Dodgers are so good that it might not matter. C'mon Rocks! TEX Texas Rangers. Adam Wainwright was ridiculous down the stretch last season and it's hard to bet against him, but he's also 40 years old. Put yourself out there. The St. Louis Cardinals strengthened their rotation depth this offseason, signing Steven Matz. ZiPS has it as a much closer race, projecting the Yankees for 89 wins and the Blue Jays for 88. Toronto Blue Jays. Carlos Rodon is gone, but Michael Kopech is waiting in the wings to take over as the No. If this is the year, Los Angeles could be in for a rise, especially with promising young talents Jo Adell, Reid Detmers and Brandon Marsh expected to be regulars in 2022. Rather astounding. As part of our year-round MLB coverage, we'll provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors . The Records are updated Live on the MLB Standings after each game finishes. The Piratesremain fully in rebuild mode, but the young talent in the system is starting to reach the big leagues. NEW YORK YANKEES 103-59. If there werent enough concerns, early IL stints for Evan Longoria and Lamonte Wade Jr. heighten worries with the Giants lineup and its diminishing depthj. The production this season will help set the stage for the next competitive Nationals' team. 2022 MLB Standings | USA TODAY PECOTA, however, sees a sizable gap of roughly five games between them, with the Mets on top. The model is also high on the pitching of the Giants, giving San Francisco a major edge going into the postseason even as a wild-card team. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors The model narrowly projects there to be three teams in the NL East reach the playoffs, with the Mets and Phillies earning wild cards to join the division-winning Padres. Three were on pace in whatever the 2020 season was. Sidelined until June, in a best-case scenario, that wipes out multiple wins in our MLB predictions. This doesn't necessarily mean they'll win the World Series and a surprisingly disappointing season is always possible. Matt Chapman is one of the best defensive players in the game and his bat should look better with the talent around it. FanGraphs Membership. Wander Franco, Shane Baz and Shane McClanahan are expected to take up major roles on the team in their second seasons with the club, and Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe will again be dangerous at the plate. Projected Standings, Roster Management, Draft Results, Keeper Management; Coming early January 2023! Were using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. With just days to go until Opening Day, hope is high among all teams that this will be their year to win a World Series or at least have an enjoyable 162-game season. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnaut's MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more.. MLB games today will offer daily predictions and the full schedule for the entire season from 2022 Opening Day to the World Series. MLB insider Bob Nightengale examines if the fans will forgive league for ugly offseason. The pitching staff is worrisome. Disappointment in 2021 compelled the New York Mets to spend even more money this offseason. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. If Alex Bregman bounces back to what he's capable of, this should remain one of the highest-scoring offenses. The Jays were 91-71 last season and I believe they are better. Seattle strengthened its young core of Jarred Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez by trading for Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez from Cincinnati and signing reigning Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. But much of the rest of the lineup is unproven. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be back before too long and joins a lineup that still features Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson and Eddie Rosario. Newcastle United vs Manchester City. 103 / 103+59 OR 103 / 162 = .636 OR 63.6%. From there, the model simulates the postseason based on the outcomes of the regular season to decide who will win the World Series. 6-keys: media/spln/mlb/reg/free/stories, at As much as I love Shane McClanahan, he won't be carrying an ace workload. It has been a discouraging offseason forAthletics'fans, who watched their two core Matts traded off to the Blue Jays (Chapman) and Braves (Olson), and standout arms Sean Manaea and Chris Bassitt traded to the Padres and Mets, respectively. Fans of the Yankeesare disappointed that New York wasn't able to land any major name in free agency, but that doesn't stop the model from being bullish on the Bronx Bombers' chances to make the playoffs. There are two MVP candidates in the lineup and the Trevor Story signing creates one of the best infield in MLB. I think Randal Grichuk will post huge power numbers there, too. MLB Regular-Season, Playoff and World Series Predictions The White Sox, who play in one of the weaker divisions, are the favorite to come away with the No. PECOTA is much less bullish on the Giants, giving them a winning percentage below .500 and less than a 1% chance of winning the division. It will all come down to how many IL stints the Angels stars have in 2022. It's hard to see that changing in 2022 with a new crop of players in the AL Central. The Guardiansfeel like the biggest surprise in the division. Here are the way too early MLB 2022 standings predictions for the American League. There is going to be some competition in Texas soon enough for the AL West crown. Things have frantically fallen into place since the new labor deal came together on March 10, with every team trying to jam most of its winter moves into just a few weeks. We saw the Houston Astros add another division title to their collection last season despite the surprise surge from the Seattle Mariners. The Minnesota Twins are an interesting case. For now, well keep the Yankees in the No. MLB playoffs 2023: MLB postseason predictions, World Series and playoffs info, Longest MLB hitting streaks ever: 2022 to baseball history, 5 biggest winners from 2022 MLB offseason, MLB top prospects 2022: Tracking latest stats and potential call-up dates, 3 Chicago White Sox trade targets to replace Lance Lynn, 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, MLB MVP race 2023: Evaluating 2023 AL, NL candidates and MVP history, MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July, What is the fastest pitch ever?